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INVESTMENT PROCESS


Macro outlook and risks assessment

A top-down look at the economy helps us put our asset allocation strategies into perspective and determine where we can add risk-adjusted value through sector concentrations and thematic overlays. 

Asset allocation
  • Stage 1: Major asset classes
  • Stage 2: Sector concentrations  
  • Stage 3: Thematic overlays

Company Selection and Review
We rigorously assess each individual company based on its own merits and within the context of our overall economic outlook. 
  • Macro suitability review
  • Expected returns and risk review  

High Quality 

We take an old-fashioned view on quality; we demand potential investments, meet certain stringent requirements and base each decision on its own extensive merits.  

Profitability:
There's more than one way to look at profitability; we take a look at many measures and metrics, including:
  • Return on Equity
  • Return on Assets
  • Free Cash flow Creation

Balance Sheet Strength:
A strong balance sheet is critical to any public companies sustainability. That's why we look closely at measures like: 
  • Equity vs. Debt
  • Fixed charge coverage
  • Ability to internally finance operations
  • Ability to manage debt

Stability and creation of Free Cash flow
Cash flow is critical to uninterpreted business operations and ability to drive growth forward. A couple of the measures we look at include: 
  • Demonstrated cash flow creation
  • Stability of historic cash flow 

Company Selection Quality/Value 

Long term
Without sustainability, there can be no true value creation. We look at a company's ability to survive - and thrive - over the long-term to ensure we're providing the optimal risk-adjusted returns. We look at the following variables: 
  • Income Statement – Will this company generate sustainable growth?
  • Balance Sheet – Is this company’s financial strength strong enough to weather headwinds and take advantage of opportunities?
  • Management – A strong management can be successful in a difficult industry. A weak management can fail in an industry with the wind at its back

Short Term
Short-term fluctuations provide potential for trading opportunities that ultimately create value; they enable us to move into positions that are under-valued and exit positions to secure returns. Some of the elements we consider include: 
  • Current acro events and where are we in the economic cycle?
  • How are a company’s earnings forecasts changing?
  • Are year-over-year results following expectations? 

Soft Side
No company is without potential detractors. We try to look at every angle, even the ones not measured by a financial yardstick, including: 
  • Does this company’s management demonstrate progressive corporate governance?
  • Is social responsibility important to the management of this company?
  • Am I proud to sponsor and invest in this company?

Asset Allocation  Our Check List

We believe tactical asset allocation is the key to providing the best possible risk-adjusted returns. Before we determine asset allocation, we take a look at a wide variety of factors:
  • Economic outlook 
          - Global
          - Local
  • Interest rate outlook
  • Credit spreads and their relation to risk
  • Capital market valuations
  • Capital market emotional index
  • Consumer market emotional index
  • Market “Value” vs. “Growth” sentiment
  • Sector Cycle
          - i.e. Consumer vs. Industrial vs. Resources
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